MiamiHard1/8-finals24 Mar 2026 · 22:00
A. Michelsen
#35 · USA
VS
J. Sinner
#2 · Italy
MICHELSEN
16.74
·
SINNER
1.045

Odds

Market
Michelsen
Sinner
Winner
16.74
1.045
Total
line 20.0
2.15
Over 20.0
1.746
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
2.61
Over 20.5
1.505
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
2.03
+5.0 games
1.847
-5 games
Handicap
games
2.63
+4.5 games
1.529
-4.5 games

Player analysis

A. Michelsen has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.6 to 15.3, with at least one match where A. Michelsen was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Michelsen vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.74Trend up

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-20 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS 13.62Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Michelsen
Stat
Sinner
60.4%
Win rate
80.5%
174–114
W–L
248–60

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved90%
Aces12
Double faults0

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

03
Hard 03
A. Michelsen vs J. Sinner head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHardATP 1/8-finalsSinner5-7 6-7
ATP US OpenHard1/32-finalsSinner6-4 6-0 6-2
ATP CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsSinner6-4 7-5