Odds Archive
Pinnacle line movement — Wednesday, March 25, 2026
20 matches · ATP 2 · WTA 1 · CH 17
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
J. B. Torres vs G. Bueno Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 1.90 → 1.79 | -5.6% | ↗ |
M. Landaluce vs J. Lehecka ATP - Singles: Miami | 3.18 → 3.55 | +11.6% | ↗ |
S. Mochizuki vs J. P. Ficovich Challenger Men - Singles: Morelia | 1.50 → 1.65 | +10.6% | ↗ |
S. Kwon vs A. Holmgren Challenger Men - Singles: Yokkaichi | 3.99 → 3.57 | -10.5% | ↗ |
M. Polmans vs C. Rodesch Challenger Men - Singles: Morelia | 1.24 → 1.23 | -1.5% | ↗ |
N. Mejia vs A. Martin Challenger Men - Singles: Morelia | 1.67 → 1.57 | -6.0% | ↗ |
Q. Vandecasteele vs B. Gojo Challenger Men - Singles: Morelia | 1.20 → 1.18 | -1.3% | ↗ |
L. Harris vs M. Cecchinato Challenger Men - Singles: Montemar | 2.04 → 1.85 | -9.1% | ↗ |
M. Dodig vs S. Kopp Challenger Men - Singles: Split | 2.81 → 2.61 | -7.1% | ↗ |
A. Nedic vs D. Kuzmanov Challenger Men - Singles: Split | 2.02 → 2.16 | +6.9% | ↗ |
T. Zidansek vs S. Sorribes Tormo Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 2.66 → 2.82 | +6.0% | ↗ |
E. Rybakina vs J. Pegula WTA - Singles: Miami | 2.71 → 2.83 | +4.4% | ↗ |
L. Romero Gormaz vs S. Lamens Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.81 → 1.74 | -4.3% | ↗ |
M. Martineau vs M. Ribecai Challenger Men - Singles: Naples | 1.79 → 1.74 | -3.3% | ↗ |
F. Cina vs F. Forti Challenger Men - Singles: Naples | 3.31 → 3.41 | +3.0% | ↗ |
K. Quevedo vs V. Erjavec Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.57 → 1.61 | +2.5% | ↗ |
M. Poljicak vs F. Gill Challenger Men - Singles: Split | 1.64 → 1.62 | -1.2% | ↗ |
A. Hernandez vs A. Andrade Challenger Men - Singles: Morelia | 4.09 → 4.06 | -0.7% | ↗ |
M. Sherif vs M. Ristic Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 2.89 → 2.87 | -0.7% | ↗ |
Q. Halys vs A. Zverev ATP - Singles: Miami | 6.95 → 6.95 | 0.0% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Wednesday, March 25, 2026
March 25, 2026 saw Pinnacle price 25 tennis matches across 9 tournaments on clay and hard, with 9 matches registering a line movement of 5% or more between open and close. The average open-to-close movement across all 25 matches was 5.1%. The full open-to-close odds comparison for every match is available in the table above. Below is a detailed breakdown of the day's most significant Pinnacle line shifts.
March 25, 2026 Line Movement Leaders — Pinnacle Tennis
Five matches defined the Pinnacle line movement narrative on March 25, 2026. First: M. Landaluce vs J. Lehecka in ATP Miami, where Landaluce's odds shifted from 3.18 → 3.55 — a +11.6% move, meaning Landaluce drifted as money came in on Lehecka. Second: S. Mochizuki vs J. P. Ficovich in CH-M Morelia, +10.6% (1.50 → 1.65, the underdog attracted late money). Third: S. Kwon vs A. Holmgren in CH-M Yokkaichi, -10.5% (3.99 → 3.57, sharp money entered on the favourite).
Positions four and five belong to M. Cecchinato in CH-M Montemar (-9.1%, 2.04 → 1.85, sharp money entered on the favourite) and S. Kopp in CH-M Split (-7.1%, 2.81 → 2.61, sharp money entered on the favourite). Across all five, the average absolute movement was 9.8% — significantly above the day's overall average of 5.1%.
March 25, 2026 Tennis Market Wrap: Open vs Close
Across all 25 matches on March 25, 2026, 12 lines shortened (favourite odds fell) and 7 lines lengthened (favourite odds rose), representing a noticeable skew toward line shortening rather than an even split. The average absolute movement was 5.1% — marginally below yesterday's 5.2%, though the difference of 0.1 percentage points is not statistically meaningful in isolation. 6 matches closed at exactly the same price as the open, indicating Pinnacle had high initial confidence in those assessments. Bettors who track line movement as a signal had 9 matches worth monitoring on March 25, 2026.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CLOSE (shown as CUR on live pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the listed player), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds lengthen (Δ% is positive for the listed player), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalise the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without banning them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CLOSE − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100, applied to the odds of the player listed in the table. A positive Δ% means that listed player's price went up from the opening — their implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view (this does not necessarily mean they are the favourite). A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.