Closing Line Value Report — Tuesday, March 24, 2026
A Tuesday schedule brought 78 matches to the DeuceHQ CLV tracker on March 24, 2026. Markets were active across 8 tournaments, with Pinnacle registering 61 significant line moves (those exceeding 3% between open and close). The full closing line value report below covers every match, every movement, and every result.
Significant Pinnacle Line Movements
The largest closing line movement of the day belonged to G. Piraino, whose odds shifted from 3.45 to 4.59 — a 24.8% move that indicates professional money entering the market before the match started. In the Naples 1/16-finals, this translated to a loss (4-6 2-6). Second on the list was J. Boulais in Yokkaichi, where Pinnacle moved the line 23.4% (3.69 → 2.99). Bettors who took J. Boulais at the opening price secured CLV of +23.4%. The third notable move came in Naples where A. Guerrieri drifted 21.5%, suggesting the market initially underestimated the opponent.
Market-Beating Results: Upsets
Upsets were a theme, with 13 higher-priced players advancing. T. Lukas in Dubrovnik was the most significant, beating A. Pavlyuchenkova at 3.36. The result was not foreshadowed by line movement — Pinnacle moved T. Lukas's line only 1.8% before close. J. Lehecka in Miami also won at 2.56, defeating T. Fritz 6-4 6-7 6-2. Combined, these results meant 13 Pinnacle favourites failed to win, underscoring that even sharp markets are priced in probabilities, not certainties.
Pinnacle Tennis Summary
Summing up: Pinnacle tracked 78 tennis markets and adjusted 61 of them by more than 3% between open and close. The favourite won in 67% of cases, broadly in line with the long-term average for tennis. Clay produced the highest upset rate. Total positive CLV opportunities for favourite backers: 45. Total positive CLV opportunities for underdog backers: 25.
Frequently Asked Questions — Closing Line Value in Tennis Betting
What is closing line value (CLV) in tennis betting?
Closing line value measures the difference between the odds you personally bet at and the final odds Pinnacle offered just before the match started. If you bet at 2.00 and the match closed at 1.80, you have positive CLV — you got a better price than the final market. CLV is widely considered the most reliable indicator of long-term profitability in sports betting, because Pinnacle's closing line incorporates all available sharp money and is the most accurate probability estimate available to the public.
Why does DeuceHQ use Pinnacle as the reference bookmaker?
Pinnacle is the industry benchmark for sharp money. Unlike most bookmakers, Pinnacle does not limit or ban winning bettors — they welcome sharp action. This means their odds reflect the true market consensus and are harder to beat. When Pinnacle's line moves significantly from open to close, it signals that informed bettors have entered the market. The vs mkt column on this page compares Pinnacle's closing price to the average of other major bookmakers, showing where the sharpest market diverged from the wider betting market.
How is the CLV percentage calculated on this page?
CLV% measures the value of a bet relative to the closing line using the formula: ((odds bet at − closing odds) / closing odds) × 100. Because individual bet prices are not available to this tracker, this page uses Pinnacle's opening price as the stand-in for the odds bet at — so the CLV% shown reflects what a bettor would have captured by betting at open. A positive CLV% means the odds shortened from open to close (the opening price was better than the final market); a negative CLV% means the odds drifted. All calculations use Pinnacle's official open and close prices sourced in real time.
