BucharestClayATP Final31 Mar 2026 · 11:40
D. Merida Aguilar
#101 · Spain
VS
J. J. Schwaerzler
#174 · Austria
AGUILAR
1.397
·
SCHWAERZLER
3.05

Odds

Market
Aguilar
Schwaerzler
Winner
1.397
3.05
Total
line 21.5
1.935
Over 21.5
1.885
Under 21.5
Total
line 21.0
1.826
Over 21.0
1.98
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.787
-3.5 games
2.05
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
2.13
-4.0 games
1.719
+4 games

Player analysis

D. Merida Aguilar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 87. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+38) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 7.16Trend mixed

J. J. Schwaerzler has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning J. J. Schwaerzler has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. J. Schwaerzler vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. J. Schwaerzler has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS -4.16Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Aguilar
Stat
Schwaerzler
60.7%
Win rate
58.5%
130–84
W–L
72–51

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted70%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces5
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Clay 10
D. Merida Aguilar vs J. J. Schwaerzler head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
BucharestClayATP FinalAguilar6-2 6-2