RomeClay4 May 2026 · 10:00
D. Merida Aguilar
#102 · Spain
VS
M. McDonald
#125 · USA
AGUILAR
1.18
·
MCDONALD
4.32

Odds

Market
Aguilar
McDonald
Change
Winner
1.18
4.32
Total
line 18.0
1.27
Over 18.0
3.14
Under 18.0
Total
line 18.5
1.4
Over 18.5
2.56
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
4.8
-7.0 games
1.14
+7 games
Handicap
games
3.24
-6.5 games
1.28
+6.5 games

Player analysis

D. Merida Aguilar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 83. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.8 to 9.9, with at least one match where D. Merida Aguilar was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Merida Aguilar has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 0.45Trend up

M. McDonald comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.6, meaning M. McDonald has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -13.56Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Aguilar
Stat
McDonald
60.7%
Win rate
35%
130–84
W–L
21–39

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won50%
2nd serve won50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults1
BP converted40%