MadridClay25 Apr 2026 · 11:00
D. Merida Aguilar
#102 · Spain
VS
C. Moutet
#30 · France

Odds

Market
Aguilar
Moutet
Change
Winner
Total
line 20.0
1.41
Over 20.0
2.56
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.52
Over 20.5
2.3
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
2
-2.0 games
1.74
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.76
-3.0 games
1.97
+3 games

Player analysis

D. Merida Aguilar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 93. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.5 to 9.9, with at least one match where D. Merida Aguilar was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Merida Aguilar has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS 0.36Trend mixed

C. Moutet comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning C. Moutet has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving C. Moutet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Moutet has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -0.05Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Aguilar
Stat
Moutet
60.7%
Win rate
58.6%
130–84
W–L
130–92

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2