L. Darderi comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.0 to 15.4, with at least one match where L. Darderi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Darderi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

C. Alcaraz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Alcaraz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.