Odds
Player analysis
C. Alcaraz shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 35. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 21.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 14 Apr | Virtanen | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Sinner | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 11 Apr | Vacherot | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 10 Apr | Bublik | 6-3 6-0 | W |
| 9 Apr | Etcheverry | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 25 Apr | Marozsan | 6-2 6-7 6-4 | W |
| 8 Apr | Berrettini | 0-6 0-6 | L |
| 23 Mar | Cerundolo | 6-0 4-6 7-5 | L |
| 21 Mar | Sakamoto | 7-6 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 15 Mar | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | Indian Wells - Semi-finals | Medvedev | 3-6 6-7 | |
| ATP Beijing | Hard | Semi-finals | Alcaraz | 5-7 3-6 | |
| ATP Wimbledon | Grass | Semi-finals | Alcaraz | 7-6 3-6 4-6 4-6 | |
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | Final | Alcaraz | 6-7 1-6 | |
| ATP Finals - Turin | Indoor | Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| ATP US Open | Hard | Semi-finals | Medvedev | 6-7 1-6 6-3 3-6 | |
| ATP Wimbledon | Grass | Semi-finals | Alcaraz | 6-3 6-3 6-3 | |
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | Final | Alcaraz | 6-3 6-2 | |
| Wimbledon | Grass | 1/32-finals | Medvedev | 4-6 1-6 2-6 |