Odds
Player analysis
C. Alcaraz comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 19.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.0 to 8.1, with at least one match where K. Khachanov was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 14 Mar | Medvedev | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 13 Mar | Norrie | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 11 Mar | Ruud | 6-1 7-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Rinderknech | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 8 Mar | Dimitrov | 6-2 6-3 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Mar | Fonseca | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 25 Feb | Brooksby | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Shevchenko | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 19 Feb | Alcaraz | 6-7 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 18 Feb | Fucsovics | 2-6 6-4 4-6 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doha | Hard | Quarter-finals | Alcaraz | 6-7 6-4 6-3 | |
| Rome | Clay | 1/8-finals | Alcaraz | 3-6 6-3 5-7 | |
| ATP Beijing | Hard | Quarter-finals | Alcaraz | 5-7 2-6 | |
| ATP Madrid | Clay | Quarter-finals | Alcaraz | 6-4 7-5 | |
| Hamburg | Clay | Quarter-finals | Alcaraz | 6-2 | |
| French Open | Clay | 1/8-finals | Alcaraz | 1-6 4-6 4-6 |