NORRIE
10.73
·
ALCARAZ
1.07
Odds
Market
Norrie
Alcaraz
Winner
10.73
1.07
Player analysis
C. Norrie has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -26.2 to 20.3, with at least one match where C. Norrie was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Norrie vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
DS 0.77Trend mixed
C. Alcaraz comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 19.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
DS 11.28Trend mixed
Recent form
Grass court stats
NorrieStatAlcaraz
49.1%Win rate88.4%
28–29W–L38–5
Avg stats — last 5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults2
Head to head
3–6
Hard 1–3
Indoor 1–0
Grass 0–1
Clay 1–2
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | Quarter-finals | Alcaraz | 6-3 6-4 | |
| Paris | Indoor | 1/16-finals | Norrie | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | |
| Wimbledon | Grass | Quarter-finals | Alcaraz | 2-6 3-6 3-6 | |
| Rio de Janeiro | Clay | Final | Norrie | 7-5 4-6 5-7 | |
| Buenos Aires | Clay | Final | Alcaraz | 6-3 7-5 | |
| Cincinnati | Hard | Quarter-finals | Norrie | 7-6 6-7 6-4 | |
| Madrid | Clay | 1/8-finals | Alcaraz | 4-6 7-6 3-6 | |
| Indian Wells | Hard | Quarter-finals | Alcaraz | 6-4 6-3 | |
| US Open | Hard | 1/64-finals | Alcaraz | 4-6 4-6 3-6 |

