Odds
Player analysis
H. Baptiste comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.2 to 7.0, with at least one match where H. Baptiste was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Baptiste has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.2, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Mar | Rybakina | 6-7 6-2 2-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Arango | 6-2 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 14 Feb | Sramkova | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 13 Feb | Zhang | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 6 Feb | Alexandrova | 6-3 6-7 3-6 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 6 Mar | Gibson | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 17 Feb | Linette | 2-6 6-4 1-6 | L |
| 10 Feb | Ostapenko | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 7 Feb | Bejlek | 7-6 6-1 | L |
| 6 Feb | Baptiste | 6-3 6-7 3-6 | W |

