Odds
Player analysis
H. Baptiste shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 67. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.
E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 28 Apr | Sabalenka | 6-2 2-6 6-7 | W |
| 27 Apr | Bencic | 1-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 25 Apr | Paolini | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 23 Apr | Quevedo | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 16 Apr | Shymanovich | 3-6 7-5 3-6 | L |

