A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-15 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +11.3 (range: 6.6 to 17.5). Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sabalenka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

H. Baptiste shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 106. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.