MadridClay1/32-finals25 Apr 2025 · 21:40
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
B. Andreescu
#130 · Canada

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Andreescu
Winner

Player analysis

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 5.73Trend mixed

B. Andreescu comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.5, meaning B. Andreescu has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving B. Andreescu vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Andreescu has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -1.51Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rybakina
Stat
Andreescu
69.4%
Win rate
60%
75–33
W–L
27–18

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

31
Clay 11
Hard 10
Grass 10
E. Rybakina vs B. Andreescu head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
RomeClay1/16-finalsAndreescu2-6 4-6
MadridClay1/32-finalsRybakina6-3 6-2
DubaiHard1/32-finalsRybakina6-3 6-4
WimbledonGrass1/32-finalsRybakina4-6 6-7