Odds
Player analysis
E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Indian Wells | Hard | Quarter-finals | Rybakina | 1-6 6-7 | |
| WTA Australian Open | Hard | Australian Open - Semi-finals | Rybakina | 3-6 6-7 | |
| Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Semi-finals | Rybakina | 6-4 4-6 3-6 | |
| WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World Group | Hard | Rybakina | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| WTA Finals - Cancun | Indoor | Pegula | 5-7 2-6 | ||
| WTA Miami | Hard | Semi-finals | Rybakina | 7-6 6-4 | |
| Guadalajara 2 | Hard | 1/16-finals | Pegula | 2-6 6-3 7-6 | |
| Miami | Hard | 1/16-finals | Pegula | 6-3 6-4 |

