Odds
Player analysis
E. Arango comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning E. Arango has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving E. Arango vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
H. Baptiste shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 67. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 28 Apr | Kasatkina | 2-6 6-3 6-7 | L |
| 24 Apr | Noskova | 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 22 Apr | Gibson | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 11 Apr | Rivera | 6-2 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 10 Apr | Magallanes | 6-1 6-0 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 28 Apr | Sabalenka | 6-2 2-6 6-7 | W |
| 27 Apr | Bencic | 1-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 25 Apr | Paolini | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 23 Apr | Quevedo | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 16 Apr | Shymanovich | 3-6 7-5 3-6 | L |

