F. Arnaboldi shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 402. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +11.6 (range: -0.9 to 20.4). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Arnaboldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

M. Karol comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.4, meaning M. Karol has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving M. Karol vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Karol has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.