Odds
Player analysis
M. Arnaldi arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.9 to 14.3, with at least one match where M. Arnaldi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
J. Munar comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.1, meaning J. Munar has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Munar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Munar has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 3 May | Hurkacz | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 2 May | Cadenasso | 1-6 6-1 6-0 | W |
| 1 May | Borges | 6-3 6-7 7-6 | W |
| 30 Apr | Cerundolo | 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 29 Apr | Arnaboldi | 7-6 4-6 2-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 25 Apr | Ruud | 0-6 1-6 | L |
| 23 Apr | Shevchenko | 6-4 6-1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Jodar | 1-6 2-6 | L |
| 13 Feb | Bublik | 4-6 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 12 Feb | Khachanov | 6-7 6-3 3-6 | W |

