WashingtonHard1/16-finals23 Jul 2025 · 19:35
M. Arnaldi
#107 · Italy
VS
L. Sonego
#66 · Italy

Odds

Market
Arnaldi
Sonego
Winner

Player analysis

M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.5, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS -8.46Trend mixed

L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Sonego has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.

DS -0.08Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Arnaldi
Stat
Sonego
51.3%
Win rate
49.1%
81–77
W–L
136–141

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted70%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults2