H. Moriya has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.2, meaning H. Moriya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Moriya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

M. Arseneault comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.5, meaning M. Arseneault has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving M. Arseneault vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.