French OpenClay1/16-finals31 May 2025 · 11:10
D. Kasatkina
#70 · Australia
VS
P. Badosa
#102 · Spain
KASATKINA
2.75
·
BADOSA
1.51

Odds

Market
Kasatkina
Badosa
Winner
2.75
1.51
Total
line 17.5
1.23
Over 17.5
4.19
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.26
Over 18.0
3.82
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
2.15
-2.5 games
1.4
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.67
-2.0 games
1.44
+2 games

Player analysis

D. Kasatkina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 6.17Trend down

P. Badosa has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.3, meaning P. Badosa has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving P. Badosa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Badosa has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.

DS -1.29Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Kasatkina
Stat
Badosa
63%
Win rate
64.4%
92–54
W–L
85–47

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won30%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults5

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

33
Clay 21
Grass 01
Hard 11
D. Kasatkina vs P. Badosa head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
French OpenClay1/16-finalsKasatkina6-1 7-5
WTA WimbledonGrass1/16-finalsBadosa6-7 6-4 4-6
WTA StuttgartClay1/16-finalsBadosa1-6 1-6
San JoseHardSemi-finalsKasatkina6-2 6-4
RomeClay1/8-finalsKasatkina6-4 6-4
SydneyHardSemi-finalsBadosa6-2 6-2