Odds
Player analysis
D. Kasatkina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
P. Badosa has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.3, meaning P. Badosa has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving P. Badosa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Badosa has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 16 Feb | Siegemund | 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 11 Feb | Swiatek | 5-7 6-1 6-1 | L |
| 10 Feb | Mertens | 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 8 Feb | Uchijima | 4-6 6-3 6-0 | W |
| 2 Feb | Waltert | 6-7 6-3 4-6 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| French Open | Clay | 1/16-finals | Kasatkina | 6-1 7-5 | |
| WTA Wimbledon | Grass | 1/16-finals | Badosa | 6-7 6-4 4-6 | |
| WTA Stuttgart | Clay | 1/16-finals | Badosa | 1-6 1-6 | |
| San Jose | Hard | Semi-finals | Kasatkina | 6-2 6-4 | |
| Rome | Clay | 1/8-finals | Kasatkina | 6-4 6-4 | |
| Sydney | Hard | Semi-finals | Badosa | 6-2 6-2 |

