Odds
Player analysis
D. Novak comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.0, meaning D. Novak has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Novak vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Novak has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -33 over recent matches.
R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Carballes Baena has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 15 Oct | Wendelken | 6-2 3-6 6-1 | L |
| 13 Oct | Miralles | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Oct | Kuzmanov | 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 17 Sep | Baena | 3-6 1-6 | L |
| 14 Sep | Gaxherri | 2-6 6-7 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 11 Apr | Molcan | 6-0 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 6 Apr | Sakamoto | 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 3 Apr | Forejtek | 2-6 6-1 6-3 | L |
| 2 Apr | Berini | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Carreno-Busta | 4-6 3-6 | L |

