D. Novak comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.0, meaning D. Novak has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Novak vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Novak has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -33 over recent matches.

R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.7 to 25.5, with at least one match where R. Carballes Baena was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Carballes Baena has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -47 over recent matches.