D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

F. Cobolli shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 45. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +9.6 (range: -8.8 to 17.3). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving F. Cobolli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.