WTA Australian OpenHard1/32-finals21 Jan 2026 · 01:45
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
Z. Bai
#371 · China

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Bai
Winner

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 10.57Trend up

Z. Bai shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 114. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.4 to 22.0, with at least one match where Z. Bai was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving Z. Bai vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

DS 3.05Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWWWW

5W 0L last 5

15 MarRybakina3-6 6-3 7-6W
14 MarNoskova6-3 6-4W
12 MarMboko7-6 6-4W
10 MarOsaka6-2 6-4W
8 MarCristian6-4 6-1W
Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

21 JanSabalenka6-3 6-1L
18 JanPavlyuchenkova4-6 6-2 6-7W
15 JanVidmanova4-6 6-4 6-1W
14 JanPaquet1-6 2-6W
13 JanKorneeva6-4 6-3W

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Bai
72.8%
Win rate
74.3%
302–113
W–L
113–39

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults2