WTA Australian OpenHard1/32-finals21 Jan 2026 · 01:45
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
Z. Bai
#350 · China

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Bai
Winner

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-31 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sabalenka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 10.42Trend mixed

Z. Bai shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 122. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.4 to 22.0, with at least one match where Z. Bai was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving Z. Bai vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

DS 3.05Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Bai
72.8%
Win rate
74.3%
302–113
W–L
113–39

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults2