Odds
Player analysis
H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.0 to 11.8, with at least one match where H. Baptiste was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
L. Fernandez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning L. Fernandez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 2 Apr | Zarazua | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 26 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 23 Mar | Ostapenko | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 22 Mar | Svitolina | 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 20 Mar | Samsonova | 6-3 7-5 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 2 Apr | Shnaider | 3-6 0-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Kudermetova | 6-2 6-1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Pegula | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Selekhmeteva | 7-6 3-6 6-1 | W |
| 8 Mar | Siniakova | 5-7 6-4 7-6 | L |

