H. Baptiste comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.6 with a downward trend. H. Baptiste is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

N. Osaka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.9 to 14.5, with at least one match where N. Osaka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.