US OpenHard1/32-finals28 Aug 2025 · 19:35
H. Baptiste
#32 · USA
VS
N. Osaka
#15 · Japan
BAPTISTE
4.95
·
OSAKA
1.21

Odds

Market
Baptiste
Osaka
Winner
4.95
1.21

Player analysis

H. Baptiste shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 67. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.

DS 6.53Trend mixed

N. Osaka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning N. Osaka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS -0.7Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Baptiste
Stat
Osaka
52.8%
Win rate
66.6%
102–91
W–L
219–110

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces9
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

03
Hard 03
H. Baptiste vs N. Osaka head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
US OpenHard1/32-finalsOsaka3-6 1-6
MiamiHard1/16-finalsOsaka6-7 6-3 4-6
AucklandHardQuarter-finalsOsaka6-7 6-1 6-2