H. Baptiste comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.2 to 7.0, with at least one match where H. Baptiste was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Baptiste has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

N. Osaka shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.