Odds
Player analysis
H. Baptiste shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 67. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.
N. Osaka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning N. Osaka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 25 Apr | Kalinina | 1-6 3-6 | W |
| 23 Apr | Osorio | 2-6 5-7 | W |
| 21 Mar | Gibson | 7-5 6-4 | L |
| 10 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 8 Mar | Osorio | 1-6 6-3 1-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 25 Apr | Baptiste | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Baptiste | 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 16 Apr | Baptiste | 3-6 7-5 3-6 | W |
| 14 Apr | Baptiste | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | L |
| 2 Apr | Baptiste | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open | Hard | 1/32-finals | Osaka | 3-6 1-6 | |
| Miami | Hard | 1/16-finals | Osaka | 6-7 6-3 4-6 | |
| Auckland | Hard | Quarter-finals | Osaka | 6-7 6-1 6-2 |

