Odds
Player analysis
H. Baptiste comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.2 to 7.0, with at least one match where H. Baptiste was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Baptiste has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
S. Zhang has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.5 to 19.6, with at least one match where S. Zhang was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Zhang vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Mar | Rybakina | 6-7 6-2 2-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Arango | 6-2 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 14 Feb | Sramkova | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 13 Feb | Zhang | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 6 Feb | Alexandrova | 6-3 6-7 3-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 5 Mar | Yastremska | 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 1 Mar | Frech | 6-2 6-7 6-3 | L |
| 28 Feb | Kasintseva | 1-6 3-6 | W |
| 27 Feb | Navarro | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 25 Feb | Lepchenko | 2-6 1-6 | W |

