Odds
Player analysis
M. Damm has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning M. Damm has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
R. Bautista-Agut comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.2, meaning R. Bautista-Agut has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Bautista-Agut vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Bautista-Agut has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 25 Apr | Mensik | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 23 Apr | Popyrin | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 21 Apr | Garin | 6-2 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 20 Apr | Pellegrino | 0-6 6-7 | W |
| 7 Apr | Rybakov | 3-6 7-6 6-3 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 22 Apr | Tirante | 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 5 Apr | Shevchenko | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Bonzi | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 31 Mar | Droguet | 1-6 6-1 1-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Khachanov | 3-6 3-6 | L |