MadridClayATP Final21 Apr 2026 · 11:00
C. Garin
#85 · Chile
VS
M. Damm
#126 · USA
GARIN
1.4
·
DAMM
2.75

Odds

Market
Garin
Damm
Change
Winner
1.4
2.75
Total
line 19.0
1.27
Over 19.0
3.14
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.38
Over 19.5
2.62
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
5.75
-6.0 games
1.09
+6 games
Handicap
games
3.48
-5.0 games
1.25
+5 games

Player analysis

C. Garin shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 100. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 7.39Trend mixed

M. Damm comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.2, meaning M. Damm has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Damm vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -8.24Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Garin
Stat
Damm
60.1%
Win rate
49.4%
255–169
W–L
40–41

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces10
Double faults6