Odds
Player analysis
J. Shang comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.5, meaning J. Shang has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Shang vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Shang has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -34 over recent matches.
R. Bautista-Agut comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.6 to 26.1, with at least one match where R. Bautista-Agut was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving R. Bautista-Agut vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 24 Feb | Medvedev | 6-1 6-3 | L |
| 16 Feb | Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 22 Jan | Zandschulp | 7-6 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 19 Jan | Bautista-Agut | 6-4 6-7 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 9 Jan | Bublik | 1-6 6-7 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 13 Mar | Royer | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 12 Mar | Goffin | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 7 Mar | Draper | 6-3 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Marozsan | 4-6 7-6 4-6 | W |
| 9 Feb | Norrie | 6-7 1-6 | L |

