Odds
Player analysis
J. Shang comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.5, meaning J. Shang has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Shang vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Shang has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -34 over recent matches.
A. Bublik comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.6, meaning A. Bublik has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Bublik vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 24 Feb | Medvedev | 6-1 6-3 | L |
| 16 Feb | Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 22 Jan | Zandschulp | 7-6 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 19 Jan | Bautista-Agut | 6-4 6-7 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 9 Jan | Bublik | 1-6 6-7 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Mar | Hijikata | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Kopriva | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 25 Feb | Griekspoor | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Struff | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 14 Feb | Auger-Aliassime | 1-6 2-6 | L |

