Hong KongHardQuarter-finals9 Jan 2026 · 11:05
J. Shang
#261 · China
VS
A. Bublik
#11 · Kazakhstan
SHANG
2.52
·
BUBLIK
1.6

Odds

Market
Shang
Bublik
Winner
2.52
1.6
Total
line 20.0
1.25
Over 20.0
3.34
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.36
Over 20.5
2.79
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
2.04
-2.0 games
1.84
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.92
-2.5 games
1.97
+2.5 games

Player analysis

J. Shang comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.5, meaning J. Shang has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Shang vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Shang has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -34 over recent matches.

DS -11.46Trend mixed

A. Bublik comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.6, meaning A. Bublik has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Bublik vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -5.63Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLLWL

1W 4L last 5

24 FebMedvedev6-1 6-3L
16 FebMedvedev6-4 6-2L
22 JanZandschulp7-6 6-2 6-3L
19 JanBautista-Agut6-4 6-7 6-4 6-0W
9 JanBublik1-6 6-7L
Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

9 MarHijikata7-6 6-7 3-6L
8 MarKopriva3-6 7-6 6-2W
25 FebGriekspoor6-3 7-6L
24 FebStruff3-6 4-6W
14 FebAuger-Aliassime1-6 2-6L

Hard court stats

Shang
Stat
Bublik
60.8%
Win rate
56.1%
90–58
W–L
215–168

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted10%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP saved70%
Aces11
Double faults2
BP converted30%