MadridClay1/32-finals25 Apr 2025 · 14:30
A. Zverev
#3 · Germany
VS
R. Bautista-Agut
#85 · Spain
ZVEREV
1.11
·
BAUTISTA-AGUT
7.2

Odds

Market
Zverev
Bautista-Agut
Winner
1.11
7.2
Total
line 16.5
1.12
Over 16.5
4.95
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.15
Over 17.0
4.5
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
9.2
-8.5 games
1.04
+8.5 games
Handicap
games
8.5
-8.0 games
1.05
+8 games

Player analysis

A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 57. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +12.9, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (7.4/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zverev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS 12.93Trend up

R. Bautista-Agut comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning R. Bautista-Agut has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Bautista-Agut vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.82Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Zverev
Stat
Bautista-Agut
70.6%
Win rate
56.8%
199–83
W–L
154–117

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces10
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

20
Clay 20
A. Zverev vs R. Bautista-Agut head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClay1/32-finalsZverev6-2 6-2
ATP Monte CarloClay1/16-finalsZverev4-6 4-6