Odds
Market
Carabelli
Berrettini
Change
Winner
—
—
—
Total
line 20.5
1.45
Over 20.5
2.47
Under 20.5
—
Total
line 21.5
1.6
Over 21.5
2.13
Under 21.5
—
Handicap
games
1.88
-2.5 games
1.78
+2.5 games
—
Handicap
games
1.61
-3.5 games
2.12
+3.5 games
—
Player analysis
C. Ugo Carabelli comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 15.4, with at least one match where C. Ugo Carabelli was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 0.6Trend mixed
M. Berrettini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 12.8, with at least one match where M. Berrettini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 0.93Trend mixed
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 6 May | Shevchenko | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | L |
| 25 Apr | Cobolli | 7-6 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 23 Apr | Monfils | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 15 Apr | Jodar | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 14 Apr | Khachanov | 6-3 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 13 May | Daniel | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 7 May | Popyrin | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 1 May | Hurkacz | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 30 Apr | Navone | 5-7 3-6 | W |
| 28 Apr | Kypson | 4-6 7-6 6-7 | W |
Clay court stats
CarabelliStatBerrettini
64.6%Win rate66.9%
243–133W–L105–52
Avg stats — last 5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults2

