ValenciaClay1/8-finals14 May 2026 · 16:00
C. Ugo Carabelli
#61 · Argentina
VS
M. Berrettini
#100 · Italy

Odds

Market
Carabelli
Berrettini
Change
Winner
Total
line 20.5
1.45
Over 20.5
2.47
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.5
1.6
Over 21.5
2.13
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.88
-2.5 games
1.78
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.61
-3.5 games
2.12
+3.5 games

Player analysis

C. Ugo Carabelli comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 15.4, with at least one match where C. Ugo Carabelli was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.6Trend mixed

M. Berrettini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 12.8, with at least one match where M. Berrettini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.93Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Carabelli
Stat
Berrettini
64.6%
Win rate
66.9%
243–133
W–L
105–52

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults2