M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.6 with a downward trend. M. Berrettini is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

R. Collignon arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+47) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.