L. Boisson has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 23.4, with at least one match where L. Boisson was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Boisson vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Boisson has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

E. Mertens comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.