Odds
Player analysis
F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
N. Borges comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.8, meaning N. Borges has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Borges vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Popyrin | 6-3 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 4 Apr | Paul | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 3 Apr | Hijikata | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Sinner | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 24 Mar | Atmane | 4-6 6-1 4-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Apr | Navone | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 17 Apr | Medjedovic | 7-6 6-2 | L |
| 15 Apr | Etcheverry | 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 13 Apr | Mannarino | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 6 Apr | Rublev | 6-4 1-6 6-1 | L |

