Odds
Player analysis
C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.8, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
C. Garin has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.9 with a downward trend. C. Garin is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Garin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Jodar | 6-2 6-1 | L |
| 3 Apr | Assche | 0-6 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 2 Apr | Buse | 3-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 31 Mar | Skatov | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Korda | 0-6 3-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Apr | Arnaldi | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 5 Apr | Basilashvili | 5-7 0-6 | W |
| 4 Apr | Jong | 7-5 1-6 6-1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Draxl | 6-4 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 11 Mar | Svrcina | 4-6 4-6 | L |

