Odds
Player analysis
C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.8, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 57. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +12.9, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (7.4/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zverev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Jodar | 6-2 6-1 | L |
| 3 Apr | Assche | 0-6 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 2 Apr | Buse | 3-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 31 Mar | Skatov | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Korda | 0-6 3-6 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris | Indoor | 1/16-finals | Zverev | 7-6 1-6 5-7 | |
| Rome | Clay | 1/32-finals | Zverev | 2-6 1-6 |

