A. Mannarino comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.0, meaning A. Mannarino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Mannarino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 272. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.