Odds
Player analysis
D. Rincon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 16.0, with at least one match where D. Rincon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Rincon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 272. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 7 Apr | Samuel | 7-6 4-6 1-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Martinez | 7-5 7-5 | L |
| 3 Apr | Damas | 2-6 6-4 2-6 | W |
| 3 Apr | Callejon | 6-3 2-6 5-7 | W |
| 1 Apr | Silva | 7-6 6-1 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 29 Mar | Ruiz | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 28 Mar | Ofner | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 27 Mar | Martinez | 4-6 6-4 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Quilez | 6-3 5-7 3-6 | W |
| 24 Mar | Gulin | 5-7 1-6 | W |

