SevilleClay1/16-finals2 Sep 2025 · 19:20
D. Rincon
#277 · Spain
VS
P. Carreno-Busta
#92 · Spain

Odds

Market
Rincon
Carreno-Busta
Winner

Player analysis

D. Rincon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 16.0, with at least one match where D. Rincon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Rincon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.04Trend mixed

P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 272. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.48Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rincon
Stat
Carreno-Busta
56.7%
Win rate
64.6%
106–81
W–L
267–146

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2
BP converted50%