Australian OpenHard1/16-finals23 Jan 2026 · 07:55
F. Cerundolo
#20 · Argentina
VS
A. Rublev
#12 · Russia
CERUNDOLO
2.14
·
RUBLEV
1.8

Odds

Market
Cerundolo
Rublev
Winner
2.14
1.8
Total
line 34.5
1.43
Over 34.5
2.46
Under 34.5
Total
line 35.0
1.46
Over 35.0
2.38
Under 35.0
Handicap
games
1.72
-2.5 games
1.48
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.55
-2.0 games
1.51
+2 games

Player analysis

F. Cerundolo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving F. Cerundolo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 5.69Trend down

A. Rublev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 11.3, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.02Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Cerundolo
Stat
Rublev
52.6%
Win rate
62.8%
61–55
W–L
311–184

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

41
Hard 10
Indoor 10
Clay 21
F. Cerundolo vs A. Rublev head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Australian OpenHard1/16-finalsCerundolo6-3 7-6 6-3
ATP ParisIndoor1/16-finalsCerundolo7-6 7-6
ATP UmagClaySemi-finalsCerundolo6-7 4-6
ATP BastadClaySemi-finalsRublev6-7 7-6 3-6
HamburgClay1/8-finalsCerundolo6-4 6-2