Monte CarloClay1/16-finals8 Apr 2026 · 11:00
F. Cerundolo
#19 · Argentina
VS
T. Machac
#53 · Czech Republic

Odds

Market
Cerundolo
Machac
Change
Winner
Total
line 21.5
1.69
Over 21.5
2.04
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.5
2.01
Over 22.5
1.84
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
1.87
-2.5 games
1.97
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.11
-3.5 games
1.66
+3.5 games

Player analysis

F. Cerundolo shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 33. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -27.3 to 13.2, with at least one match where F. Cerundolo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving F. Cerundolo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS 3.02Trend mixed

T. Machac comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.0, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.

DS -5.98Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Cerundolo
Stat
Machac
66.2%
Win rate
59.3%
180–92
W–L
54–37

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces3
Double faults2