Odds
Player analysis
S. Sorger comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.3, meaning S. Sorger has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving S. Sorger vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.
E. Couacaud has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.7 with a downward trend. E. Couacaud is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Couacaud vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 1 Feb | Angelini | 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 18 Jan | Binda | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 18 Nov | Yevseyev | 7-5 4-6 1-6 | L |
| 18 Sep | Carreno-Busta | 7-5 6-4 | L |
| 17 Sep | Kovalik | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 9 Sep | Kukushkin | 5-7 3-6 | W |
| 8 Sep | Catry | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 7 Sep | Wallart | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | W |
| 17 Aug | Agamenone | 4-6 7-5 2-6 | L |
| 3 Aug | Sorger | 6-4 6-2 | L |

