MiamiHard1/8-finals23 Mar 2026 · 22:15
J. Cristian
Romania
VS
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
CRISTIAN
8.67
·
PEGULA
1.12

Odds

Market
Cristian
Pegula
Winner
8.67
1.12
Total
line 19.5
2.07
Over 19.5
1.8
Under 19.5
Total
line 18.5
1.893
Over 18.5
2
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
1.901
+6.0 games
1.99
-6 games
Handicap
games
2.25
+5.5 games
1.699
-5.5 games

Player analysis

J. Cristian has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.7, meaning J. Cristian has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Cristian vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Cristian has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -6.7Trend mixed

J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.81Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Cristian
Stat
Pegula
57.9%
Win rate
66.4%
22–16
W–L
290–147

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults4
BP converted40%
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

01
Hard 01
J. Cristian vs J. Pegula head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Australian OpenHard1/64-finalsPegula6-1