Odds
Player analysis
J. Cristian has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.7, meaning J. Cristian has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Cristian vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Cristian has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 22 Mar | Alexandrova | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | W |
| 21 Mar | Stearns | 4-6 5-7 | W |
| 8 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 7 Mar | Joint | 0-6 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 5 Mar | Tjen | 4-6 6-4 7-6 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Open | Hard | 1/64-finals | Pegula | 6-1 |

