WTA Indian WellsHard1/16-finals8 Mar 2026 · 19:10
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
SABALENKA
1.04
·
CRISTIAN
18.63

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Cristian
Winner
1.04
18.63

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 10.57Trend up

J. Cristian has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning J. Cristian has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving J. Cristian vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.87Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWWWW

5W 0L last 5

15 MarRybakina3-6 6-3 7-6W
14 MarNoskova6-3 6-4W
12 MarMboko7-6 6-4W
10 MarOsaka6-2 6-4W
8 MarCristian6-4 6-1W
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

8 MarSabalenka6-4 6-1L
7 MarJoint0-6 6-2 7-5W
5 MarTjen4-6 6-4 7-6W
18 FebAndreeva7-5 6-3L
16 FebMarcinko6-1 6-1W

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Cristian
72.8%
Win rate
57.1%
302–113
W–L
20–15

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults5