Australian OpenHardFinal1 Feb 2026 · 09:45
C. Alcaraz
#1 · Spain
VS
N. Djokovic
#3 · Serbia
ALCARAZ
1.34
·
DJOKOVIC
3.56

Odds

Market
Alcaraz
Djokovic
Winner
1.34
3.56

Player analysis

C. Alcaraz comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 19.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 11.28Trend mixed

N. Djokovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.4 to 11.1, with at least one match where N. Djokovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Djokovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.43Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

14 MarMedvedev3-6 6-7L
13 MarNorrie6-3 6-4W
11 MarRuud6-1 7-6W
10 MarRinderknech6-7 6-3 6-2W
8 MarDimitrov6-2 6-3W

Hard court stats

Alcaraz
Stat
Djokovic
78%
Win rate
84%
156–44
W–L
743–142

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults3

Head to head

45
Hard 22
Grass 21
Indoor 01
Clay 01
C. Alcaraz vs N. Djokovic head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Australian OpenHardFinalAlcaraz2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5
US OpenHardSemi-finalsAlcaraz4-6 6-7 2-6
Australian OpenHardQuarter-finalsDjokovic4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4
ATP Olympic GamesGrassFinalDjokovic7-6 7-6
ATP WimbledonGrassFinalAlcaraz6-2 6-2 7-6
ATP Finals - TurinIndoorSemi-finalsDjokovic3-6 2-6
ATP CincinnatiHardFinalDjokovic7-5 6-7 6-7
ATP WimbledonGrassFinalAlcaraz1-6 7-6 6-1 3-6 6-4
ATP French OpenClaySemi-finalsDjokovic3-6 7-5 1-6 1-6