Odds
Player analysis
F. Maestrelli comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.1, meaning F. Maestrelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving F. Maestrelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
N. Djokovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.4 to 11.1, with at least one match where N. Djokovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Djokovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 11 Mar | Bellucci | 1-6 1-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Hijikata | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 3 Mar | Tirante | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 2 Mar | Jarry | 4-6 6-4 6-7 | W |
| 12 Feb | Gentzsch | 4-6 4-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Mar | Draper | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Kovacevic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | W |
| 7 Mar | Majchrzak | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 1 Feb | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 30 Jan | Sinner | 3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4 | W |