Odds
Player analysis
L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Sonego has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
S. Dostanic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -24.7 to 22.4, with at least one match where S. Dostanic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving S. Dostanic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Dostanic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -33 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Jan | Musetti | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 20 Jan | Taberner | 6-4 6-0 6-3 | W |
| 8 Jan | Shang | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 6 Jan | Sakamoto | 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 7 Nov | Norrie | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Apr | Wu | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Andrade | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 9 Apr | Rybakov | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | W |
| 6 Apr | Purtseladze | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 28 Mar | Andrade | 1-6 3-6 | L |

