Odds
Player analysis
A. Popyrin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.1 with a downward trend. A. Popyrin is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Popyrin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Popyrin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
J. Draper has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning J. Draper has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Draper vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Draper has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 4 Apr | Tiafoe | 6-3 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 3 Apr | Michelsen | 0-6 6-4 1-6 | W |
| 1 Apr | Kypson | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 19 Mar | Cilic | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 5 Mar | Brooksby | 6-3 6-4 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 20 Mar | Opelka | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 13 Mar | Medvedev | 1-6 5-7 | L |
| 12 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 9 Mar | Cerundolo | 1-6 5-7 | W |
| 7 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 6-3 3-6 2-6 | W |

