Odds
Player analysis
J. Draper has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning J. Draper has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Draper vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Draper has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
D. Medvedev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.9, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 20 Mar | Opelka | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 13 Mar | Medvedev | 1-6 5-7 | L |
| 12 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 9 Mar | Cerundolo | 1-6 5-7 | W |
| 7 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 6-3 3-6 2-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 25 Apr | Marozsan | 6-2 6-7 6-4 | W |
| 8 Apr | Berrettini | 0-6 0-6 | L |
| 23 Mar | Cerundolo | 6-0 4-6 7-5 | L |
| 21 Mar | Sakamoto | 7-6 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 15 Mar | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | L |

